Britain's Food and Drink Federation warned that food inflation would climb above 9% by the end of 2026, citing disruption to energy and supply chains from the Iran war — a sharp upward revision from their previous 3.2% forecast. The projection assumes the Strait of Hormuz reopens within two to three weeks and facilities return to normal within a year, meaning actual inflation could exceed 9% if the conflict drags on. For UK households spending roughly £119 per week on groceries, a 9-10% jump would add £500-600 annually to food costs.