This Newsweek article reports real market data — prediction market prices on Kalshi did rise from 28.6% to 35.1% in recent weeks for a 25th Amendment removal contract. The article cites Trump's actual profane Easter Sunday post and Murphy's real response. However, the framing leans heavy on speculation and market psychology ("can influence narratives," "amplify panic") without clearly separating what markets measure (betting sentiment) from what they predict (actual likelihood). The article also frames this as "heightened public speculation" driven by the Iran war, but doesn't provide broader Cabinet sentiment or substantive reporting on removal odds — it's mostly tracking market movement as a proxy for concern.