Trump's ongoing military conflict with Iran and his tariff policies are driving up gas and consumer prices simultaneously, with his Energy Secretary now saying prices won't drop below $3 per gallon until after November's midterm elections. A Quinnipiac poll shows two-thirds of Americans blame Trump directly for gas price spikes, and the U.S. Navy's shooting of an Iranian cargo ship over the weekend sent oil prices higher as experts warn the incident will make shipping through the Strait of Hormuz even riskier. A Supreme Court ruling struck down Trump's tariffs, triggering $166-175 billion in refunds — but those refunds go to importers and corporations who imported goods, not to consumers who paid the higher prices in stores; with corporate concentration at monopoly levels in most industries, consumers won't see price cuts because companies have no competitive pressure to pass savings along.