The Horrors That Could Lie Ahead if Vaccines Vanish

ProPublica presents peer-reviewed epidemiological modeling from Stanford researchers (Kiang and Lo) with strong sourcing and methodological transparency—the article details simulation parameters, uncertainty ranges, and caveats (e.g., the worst-case scenario assumes zero vaccine availability, an unlikely extreme). The framing is inevitably alarming given the subject matter, but the reporting distinguishes between average predictions and extreme outcomes, and includes HHS's response. Readers should note that while the modeling is credible and published in JAMA, the article's dramatic presentation (visual comparisons to kindergarten classes, historical imagery) amplifies emotional impact; the reporting itself is sound, but the editorial choices around presentation lean toward persuasion on the vaccine safety/access question rather than neutral exposition.