Classified U.S. intelligence assessments show Iran retains operational access to roughly 30 of its 33 missile launch sites along the Strait of Hormuz—contradicting Trump administration public claims that the Iranian military is severely degraded. The discrepancy matters because it shows policymakers are acting on intelligence suggesting Iran is stronger militarily than the public messaging suggests, which will shape U.S. strategy in the ongoing conflict. The WSJ reported in April that Iran still controls thousands of short-range ballistic missiles and can reactivate launchers, corroborating these assessments.